Foresight — projections and recommendations

Seventy-six projected measures back-tested over the existing cubes, and how to read one honestly.

Foresight projects measures forward over the same cubes the reports read: cash, receivables, demand, attrition, capacity, census, enrolment. Seventy-six measures across the modules, each back-tested against the history the platform already holds.

How to read a projection

• A projection carries its interval, not just its central line. A number without a range is a guess wearing a suit.
• A projection carries its back-test: how the same method would have done against the periods that have already happened. That is the only honest evidence a forecast can offer before the event.
• A projection over too little history says so and declines to draw a line, rather than extrapolating three points into a trend.
• A prescriptive suggestion names the records it is reasoning about, so it can be checked rather than believed.